100 Blockchain
Leverage
• 90% of the money invested in Bitcoin is spent on derivatives like ‘per-
petual swaps – bets on future price fluctuations that never expire’. As
most of these transactions are traded on unregulated exchanges (such
as FIX and Binance), customers could also borrow more to make bets
even bigger. Exchanges would take a hit and swallow big losses on
defaulted debt.
• The investors would try to liquidate conventional assets to meet the
margin calls in cryptocurrency. They might also give up trying to
meet the calls and it will trigger liquidations.
• Regulated exchanges and banks have a lot of faults as they lent dollars
to investors who then bought Bitcoin. Some even lent dollars against
crypto collateral. In both cases, borrowers will default and might seek
to liquidate other conventional assets.
Stablecoins
• It is a cumbersome process to change dollars for Bitcoin. For this rea-
son, cryptocurrency traders use stablecoin, which is pegged to the
dollar or euro, to realise gains and reinvest proceeds. Some of the
stablecoins are Tether and USDC coins. Investors issues back their
stablecoins with piles of assets in money market funds. For instance,
Tether has 50% of its assets that were held in commercial paper, 12%
in secured loans and 10% in corporate bonds and precious metals at
the end of March 2021. They are worth more than $100bn. A cryp-
tocurrency crash could lead to a run on stablecoins, which will force
issuers to dump their assets to make redemptions.
Market sentiment
• Cryptocurrency collapse could affect the broader sentiment of the
market including crypto as well as mainstream. Low interest rates
have led investors to take more risks by investing in stocks and cryp-
tos. A crypto collapse could cause them to cool on other exotic assets.
• Recently, conventional banks have started offering crypto exchange-
traded funds and also debit cards that pay customer rewards in
Bitcoin. Crypto collapse will also have the potential to cause wider
market disruption.
• In summary, leverage, stablecoins and market sentiment are the main
channels through which any crypto downturn can happen which in
effect causes a market-wide impact.